But its just not going to happen anymore the way pitchers are used now and the way free agency is and (how) careers go. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Wainwright has certainly had a long and successful career, but has it been enough to warrant enshirement in the Hall of Fame? Hes produced 5.0 WAR with his pitching but -0.6 WAR with his hitting with a remarkable .000/.000/.000 line taking this no-hitter thing a bit too literally through 50 PA; on Wednesday night, he surpassed Wei-Yin Chens record for season-opening futility, set in 2016. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. If he misses the first week or so, no big deal. Dont hold your breath. But Wainwright still had good value because he supplied 192 innings. The only active pitchers behind Wainwright (2,375 2/3) in the 2,000-inning club are 36-year-old David Price (2,103 1/3), 35-year-old Johnny Cueto (2,034 1/3) and 32-year-old Madison Bumgarner (2,034). Adam Wainwright is the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher since Bob Gibson, and arguably the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher in history other than Bob Gibson. After doing some [strength] assessments, its something he can solve. Wainwright, 40, who has played for the Cardinals since reaching the majors in 2005, is a three-time All-Star and twice led the National League in wins (2009 and 2013). Even if he is able to reach the 200 win threshold, will Wainwright find himself enshrined in the Baseball Hall of Fame? The 40-year . The two were teammates from 2005-07, and Rolen was out at third base when Wainwright recorded the final out of the 2006 World Series for the St. Louis Cardinals.. That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. He made his 55 million dollar fortune with All-Star, St. Louis Cardinals, NL wins leader. Central Cincinnati Reds first baseman Joey Votto headlines the list of players in the National League West who are on track to have a chance to make it into baseball's Hall of Fame. He went from having a 3.8 WAR in 2021 to 2.8 WAR last year. This may not seem particularly grandiose, and probably not even close to Cooperstown worthiness, but it should be noted that with sixty-five elected, starting pitcher is far and away the most commonly enshrined position in the Hall (it has also, pre-bullpen expansion, been the most common position, so this shouldnt be too surprising). March 2, 2023 | 00:00:10. All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Among the sixty-five (again, the number of Hall of Fame starting pitchers) greatest starting pitchers in history, five are either currently active or retired but not yet Hall eligibleJustin Verlander, Clayton Kershaw, Max Scherzer, Zack Greinke, and CC Sabathia. Cy Young awards, no-hitters, and ERA titles may be better methods for evaluating the 21st century pitcher than the sheer outdated statistic of wins.. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. St. Louis Cardinals right-hander Adam Wainwright reaches 2,000 career Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. Adam's parents had a rocky marriage, and they split up when he was around seven years old. 9 mo. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. Adam Wainwright Hall of Fame. Greinke was dominant for the 2009 Kansas City Royals, winning the league ERA crown (2.16) and leading the AL in WHIP (1.073), and even better for the 2015 Los Angeles Dodgers, posting a ridiculous 1.66 ERA and at one point throwing 43.2 consecutive scoreless innings over six starts. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals' visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004. Chapman notched his 300th save on August 26, but hes had an unimpressive season, walking 16.2% of hitters en route to a 3.68 ERA and 4.16, all career worsts. 34. Its Wainwrights final MLB season before retirement, and (mostly) anything goes. Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. . Wainwright threw his sinker, cutter and curveball the most, and the velocity on all three pitches measured a significant drop-off from last season. He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. Injury? And I finally reached the point where I just ignored the spin and started to interpret the lack of candor as a possible warning sign. 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. Even 250 wins is a rare accomplishment at this point. pre-2008 adjustment) | 39.5 Peak fWAR | 48.8 fJAWS, +0.3 fJAWS). When it comes down to it, Sabathia may find himself in a logjam of other similar pitchers, and if he does get in, it may take him some time. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. 100-70, 2.99 ERA, 1,409 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. They cited various ailments that impacted Wainos performance. Seconds later, told his numbers stack up well to wild card-era pitchers who are either already enshrined or have solid Hall of Fame cases, the famously good-natured Wainwright a night removed from saying he struck out Jeff McNeil looking to leave the bases loaded because I like nostalgia and he wanted to give Mets fans what they want grinned again. Pitching to a 3.66 ERA and 4.45 FIP, hes produced a respectable 2.2 WAR, though hes still 0.6 points below the JAWS standard. Sales efficiency numbers are superb he has a 2.99 career ERA, a 1.054 WHIP, a 4.96 K:BB ratio, and hes working on five straight All-Star trips. Sabermetrics lover. This isnt your fathers Hall of Fame. However, per his stats, it would not be surprising if he is inducted in his first year of eligibility. Bumgarner has thrown 36 career innings in the World Series and allowed one earned run. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. But theres no alarm. In his final inning, Wainwright didnt touch higher than 85 mph. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. Even if he does that, hes well short of the JAWS standard or even the 55.7 career WAR of David Ortiz, plus he has the stigma of his 2013 PED suspension to overcome. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. After the divorce, his mother, Nancy, became a real estate agent and raised the boys on her own. Saturday marked the end of an era for the St. Louis Cardinals. This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. Poll : Should Adam Wainwright be in the Hall of Fame? Will this happen? Were just giving him a little extra time in between appearances to rebound from his first time out. . There is a trio of starting pitchers not yet Hall-eligible who rank somewhere between Gooden and WainwrightFlix Hernndez, Cole Hamels, and Chris Sale. NL Wild Card Game: Is Adam Wainwright Going To Join Max - Forbes (Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images), Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season. Adam Wainwright never won a Cy Young Award. It goes something like this . Terms of Service. With a big age-28 season (5.2 WAR and counting) driven by his 31 homers, 138 OPS+, and 9 DRS, Ramirez is making notable progress toward Cooperstown, particularly given that hes already banked two seven-win seasons. Yadier Molina is arguably one of the best defensive catchers in the history of baseball. Im far less convinced he deserves that, but using FanGraphs framing-inclusive WAR for catchers (supplemented by Baseball Prospectus pre-2008 framing data), its clear that he deserves a boost beyond off-the-shelf JAWS. What a career Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina have shared together! It may rile up some traditionalists who are married to the idea pitchers must win 300 games and strike out 3,000 batters to be considered Hall-worthy. St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you can make the case for the veteran pitcher although hes not a sure-fire candidate yet. Sale went two years and a day between major league outings due to elbow inflammation, a flexor tendon strain, and Tommy John surgery, but hes made a solid return so far, with a 2.53 ERA and 27.9% strikeout rate through four starts. Updated: Friday, March 3, 2023 11:11 PM ET, Park Factors In fairness, the Cardinals are correct in their initial thinking. Can Adam Wainwright join St. Louis Cardinals teammates in Hall of Fame? In the spirit of giving my readers what they want, heres a lightning round, where Ill keep things uncharacteristically brief. The contact rate against him on pitches in the strike zone last season 91 percent was the highest against him during his 17-season MLB career. Sales unconventional windup seems to leave open the idea of Tommy John surgery or at least a serious injury, but he has averaged 30 starts per season since entering the rotation in 12. Heres what Bowden wrote: Mozeliak was cautious in his comments and reminded me that the right-hander threw only 36 innings last year. MILWAUKEE -- Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. 76-43, 3.18 ERA, 1,183 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Still, Hernandez has quite a resume over the last decade hes been named to six All-Star teams, won 156 games for a perennially-losing franchise that hasnt sniffed the postseason, and hes won a Cy Young award to go with multiple ERA titles. Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. Aroldis Chapman (18.5 WAR | 19.9 WPA | 12.0 WPA/LI | 16.8 R-JAWS, +0.6 R-JAWS). His 133 OPS+ is a step down from his 201218 prime (146), but his .493 SLG is his best since leaving Arizona. No ones winning 300 games again, probably, Maybe there will be a couple guys that have a chance Claytons got a chance, Max maybe. Flahertys exhibition-season debut was supposed to happen Saturday, but now the assignment has been switched to Sunday. Enter your email address to get a new one. Adam Wainwright answers if he thinks he's a Hall of Famer | Foul All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. (approx 1 - 2 per week). Strasburgs 2.86 FIP suggests hes outperformed his 3.18 ERA, and his strikeout rate has been stellar. Evaluating Hall of Fame Odds for 10 Active Major League Pitchers - Donuts Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. Five years ago, Max Scherzer had no Hall of Fame case. Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to the All-Star game three times. DUNEDIN., Fla. Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. left the spring training game against Tampa Bay with right knee discomfort. The good news is that Sale is missing bats and taking names, offering hope that the 32-year-old lefty can resume a quest for Cooperstown that was beginning to come into focus before he was injured. At 41-years-old, Adam Wainwright's statistics suggest no signs of slowing down. He was the MVP of the 2014 World Series after two dominant starts and then five scoreless innings off the bench in Game 7, and hes been a key contributor to three championship teams. Of the four active starters who are within hailing distance of the JAWS standard (61.1), none has done more to help himself in 2021 than Scherzer, who has been stellar in his age-36 season, pitching to a 2.40 ERA and 3.12 FIP in 146 innings for the Nationals and Dodgers. Its just hard to pitch that long nowadays, without injuries especially. But I want to consider Adam Wainwrights Hall of Fame case as a purely statistical candidate based on the statistics we currently have. After nearly two seasons in the wilderness, he regained his dominant form with the Cubs, and while hes scuffled since being traded to the White Sox while pitching in a setup role in front of Liam Hendriks, his 2.02 ERA, 2.24 FIP, and 43.2% strikeout rate make this his best season since 2017 and put him in line for another substantial free-agent payday if the White Sox decline his $16 million club option. In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. He is known for being a Baseball Player. The wins, strikeouts, ERA and innings were his best since 2014, which appeared to be the last full year of his peak. Now his current difficulties are being downplayed because the leg/glute tightness, the back spasms, the finger. Yadier Molina's Hall of Fame case is perplexing, but here's why the Adam Wainwright 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA 3x All-Star, 2 Gold Gloves, 2 rings Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; he's going to be 36 in a few months and he's logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). If he can maintain this kind of dominance for a few more years, hell get to Cooperstown. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. . His induction was most likely heavily influenced by his passing, but I think sets the bar for what a pitcher needs to have accomplished in recent years. The starting pitcher, who will enter his 19th season with the Cards, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves. The two-time NL Cy Young winner began his season by reeling off one of the most amazing runs of any pitcher in recent memory, posting an 0.50 ERA and 0.87 FIP through his first 12 starts. Of course, Wainwright and the Cardinals gave it the nothing to see here treatment. The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder what might have been if not for the injuries that effectively cost him three seasons from ages 29 to 36. Adam Wainwright strikes out Chas McCormick swinging in the top of the 1st inning, one of his two strikeouts over three innings of work. Ill assume that FanGraphss weirdly defensive stance against Wainwrights pursuit of bulletin board material has subsided by then. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. It's a career that includes 10 All-Star Games, nine Gold Gloves, four Platinum Gloves, two World Series titles and plenty of adulation from the St. Louis area and beyond. Pujols, Wainwright and Molina were each given an introduction and trotted out to the diamond to be greeted by 16 Cardinals Hall of Famers. Thats an average of 174 innings per year. The baseball player is married to Jenny Curry, his starsign is Virgo and he is now 41 years of age. SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS Though hes overcome health scares and worked hard to expand his arsenal to become less reliant upon his cutter, Jansen has continued to take Dodgers fans on a rollercoaster this season. Or could it be that a lot of this is happening because Wainwright is 41 years old and headed to his 42nd birthday on Aug. 30? He had one brother, Trey, who was seven years his senior. He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. He, of course, can retract this, but as he is now in his 40s, Im inclined to believe hes serious. His contract (seven years, $175 million) ensures he will pitch in Seattle at least through 2019, but his velocity numbers and declining ERA suggest his career may be on the downside. While Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina are already committed to retirement, what becomes of star pitcher Adam Wainwright remains a question for St. Louis fans. I want to confine my results to the integration era, as, while this whole exercise is based on some level of silliness, I dont think asking Adam Wainwright to win 40 games and pitch 400 innings is particularly fair. St. Louis Cardinals: Bad luck, bad timing hurt Wainwright's pedigree He has led the league in strikeouts three times, including a 300-strikeout season in 2018. Your email address will not be published. I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. Please contact us. Strikeouts are booming like never before. Wainwright is one of 39 pitchers to record at least 180 wins, 2,000 strikeouts and an ERA of 3.40 or lower while making at least 350 starts and throwing at least 2,300 innings. Your email address will not be published. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright's Hall of Fame chances could be dampened by circumstances out of his control. This is the first time since 2010 that all three are in . 3rd stage: Well, his arm hasnt rebounded the way we were hoping for, so were just going to shut him down and see how he responds. That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. Interestingly enough, he missed the entire 2011 season for the world champion St. Louis Cardinals, but he did play an integral role as a closer in the 2006 playoffs, throwing 9.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs. But Adam Wainwright's story also isn't complete. Not an injury issue? Adam WainWright's MLB stats are Win-loss record 195-115, Earned run average 3.35 and Strikeouts 2,142. Me talking about it is going to inflame some people Hes not a Hall of Famer! Wainwright said. However, not all stories have happy endings. But in evaluating Wainwright by the standards of the modern starting pitchers, he has a path albeit a narrow one that requires him to sustain his late-30s rebirth for at least one and possibly two more seasons that seemed impossible when he was in the midst of an extended sunset phase late in the 2010s. The best-of-three series would not go in the Cardinals' favor, falling 2-0 to the eventual World Series participant. Max Scherzer, already on the Cooperstown fast track before he was traded by the Nationals to the Dodgers at the trade deadline, continued his march towards inner-circle status by authoring a dominant post-acquisition stretch for his new team (7-0 with a 1.98 in 11 starts for the Dodgers, who won each of his outings) on par with Doyle Alexander in 1987, Randy Johnson in 1998 and CC Sabathia in 2008. His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. Its early, its the process, hell be ready to go when its time to go. While wins arent everything, Ive chosen to list them chronologically by career win total as a benchmark of evaluation. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. It is not as though a 6.4 WAR season alone would do the trickwhile this would put Wainwright over 50 bWAR and at 56.4 fWAR (assuming he hit 6.4 on both metrics), the impact on Wainwrights peak would be much smaller, since he was reasonably good in his seventh best season under both metrics (3.0 bWAR, 3.9 fWAR). It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). This adds up to a solid career, and one that would be worthy of the Hall of Very Good, but not the Hall of Fame. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame We use cookies to improve your experience. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's left behind. Now, Adam Wainwright at any age, while once one of the best pitchers in the sport, never put a season quite that good. Astros @ Cardinals. Hes racked up four seasons worth 67 WAR, plus a fifth at 5.7 and a sixth at 4.9; to improve that peak score substantially, he needs big seasons. Adam Wainwright on Baseball Reference.. Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. 2000-2023 Rogers Media. With 273 homers, Goldschmidt could reach 300 by the end of next season, though with 1,539 hits, the 2,000 milestone and real clarity on his fate is probably three seasons away. Hes got a long ways to go to reach 200 wins (he has 112), but hes already at 2,031 strikeouts. How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? When Wainwright has pitched, hes been traditionally one of the better pitchers in the league, having won 20 games twice, 19 games on two other occasions, and led the league twice. Bernie invites you to listen to his opinionated and analytical sports-talk show on 590 The Fan, KFNS-AM. . Information from The Associated Press was used in this report. Between that, his three Cy Youngs, and eight All-Star appearances, hes probably punched his ticket even before getting to 200 wins (hes at 187). However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing-and-miss stuff and faded to a 17.8 percent strikeout rate. His draft stock suggests he has the ability to be a top-tier pitcher, but as of now, hes not on a Cooperstown track. Hall of Very Good. While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright reaches 2,000 career strikeouts Look at that. Wins may not matter as much these days, but his 195 wins would make him just the seventh player to be inducted as a starting pitcher with fewer than 200 victories. A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). Despite dealing with shoulder soreness and some rough stretches, Greinke the active leader in JAWS has pitched an AL-high 159.2 innings, though he will probably get overtaken after landing on the COVID-19 IL on Tuesday. When the Washington Nationals took Stephen Strasburg first overall in the 2009 draft, he was one of the most hyped prospects in the games history. Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. He missed large chunks of his playing career due to injuries, and while this has not always been a deal-breaker for Cooperstown, Wainwrights perfectly fine peak was hardly that of go-to example Sandy Koufax. However, their overall record forced the Cards to play a Wild Card series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies. Were not concerned. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. But I just want to know how far back I would have to dig to find an age-40 season in which a pitcher was good enough to get Adam Wainwright to this level of Hall of Fame worthiness. Wainwright is absolutely not going to make it to Cooperstown, and the numbers say he shouldn't, but you can squint and you can cherry-pick statistics to make an argument for Wainwright if you enter with an agenda.

Drug Trafficking In Australia, Yakama Tribal Jail Roster, Why Are Marines So Arrogant, Rebuilding A Hoof Governor, What Does A British Owl Say Joke, Articles I