This page was last edited on 4 March 2023, at 10:18. For Labour and the Lib Dems parties which also supported the legislation and oppose Westminsters intervention the figures are 13 per cent and 14 per cent respectively., The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 11 Feb 2023. In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Exclusive: Scottish Labour blasted the Scottish Government for their inaction in trying to get rid of dangerous Grenfell-styling cladding on buildings across the country. Keir Starmer's lead over Rishi Sunak has increased to 7 pointsin terms of the party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, by 34% (+2) to 27% (-1). The table also lists some events that may have impacted on polling returns, including the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, the Covid pandemic in Scotland and party leadership changes. Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. This time 12 months ago, the Conservative party was still just ahead in the polls. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? The main table includes primarily those polls which ask the same question as the 2014 referendum: "Should Scotland be an Independent Country?". The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunak's party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. The company, based in Drumchapel, has reportedly ceased all trading with its annual results currently overdue by more than two months. Reform UK are also polling in the region of 6-7%. The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. Most polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. Changes are shown as (vs that poll / vs last election). The poll, commissioned by WalesOnline has found support for the Tories in Wales now sits at just 19%. This analysis has drawn on the latest opinion polls that were specific to Wales and Scotland respectively. When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. Explore what the world thinks, discover our solutions, and join our community to share your opinion. ), Lord Ashcroft poll, reported in Holyrood on 13 Feb 2023Full results. Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a de facto referendum on independence. Similarly, the above analysis has been conducted based on the existing United Kingdom constituency boundaries. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. All Rights Reserved. Crucially for the Union, the SNP would be some distance off a majority share if the election was to be regarded as a 'de facto' referendum on independence, as Nicola Sturgeon has suggested. It was one of the biggest news stories of our. Voting intention in the United Kingdom 2017-2023. Consumer packaged goods (CPG) Eating & drinking. A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. Use at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Britain Elects. Polling for the Welsh parliament election is less extensive than what is available in Scotland. Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. All rights reserved. A new poll published by YouGov Tuesday shows that Sunak would lose to any of his three remaining rivals among Tory members in a final two-way round of votes. YouGov is a global public opinion and data company. Please click 'Create Account and Subscribe' to create a new account and subscribe to our email alerts. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. Please ensure your password has at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Five missions focused on fixing the fundamentals, says Starmer ahead of major speech, The decline and fall of the one nation Conservative. Analysis pieces written by YouGov's data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. LONDON, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Support for British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative party has slipped behind the opposition Labour party to its lowest level since the 2019 national. The Conservatives meanwhile have dropped to 21% of current vote intention, down seven points. Question asked. Sign up for a FREE NewsNow account and get our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Any variations that might have an impact on the poll result, such as excluding 16- to 17-year-old voters, are recorded in the 'Notes' column. YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. Should the public's feeling remain largely down. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' what number would you consider yourself to be?". The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. And 50% of those who voted Lib Dem in 2019 would now vote for Labour, up from 27% at the start of this week. Energy & utilities. Politics.co.uks current Westminster projections are also drawn through an aggregate extrapolation of the data on election polls. The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. More Scots are seeing the reality of SNP rule. In early March 2023, the Labour Party continue to consolidate their substantial lead over the Conservatives, one which is now trending at 21%.. Polling averages extrapolated in the 3 weeks to 2 March place Labour on 47.3%, the Conservatives on 26.8%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9.3%. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. July 9, 2020 YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal fur and do support a #FurFreeBritain; Government urged to end UK fur sales RT-Images/iStock.com Red fox lying in leaves LONDONBritish citizens overwhelmingly agree that the time has come for Britain to be fur-free. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. All Rights Reserved. Question asked is stated in notes field. Education. It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. YouGov found that voting intention in 53 such constituencies in the south and east of England currently held by the party stood at 44% for the Conservatives, 24% for Labour, 18% for the Liberal Democrats and 9% for the Greens. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote . 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Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. Gender Recognition Act, Tags: Gender Recognition Act, Gender Recognition Reform, Panelbase, poll, survey. Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. Polling includes only those that explicitly ask how the responder would vote in a hypothetical referendum on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union, rather than repeating the remain/leave question of the 2016 referendum. Those SNP MPs to lose their seats would include Amy Callaghan in East Dunbartonshire (to the Lib Dems) and Richard Thomson in Gordon (to the Tories). By the time that the SNP under Alex Salmond had won an outright majority at Holyrood in 2011, support for Scottish independence had started to nudge back up towards 40%. 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Again, the Scottish sample is even small (103 out of 993 once don't knows are removed) but the survey puts Labour in the lead north of the Border on 40 per cent of the vote. This drop off appears to dovetail with a growth in support in the opinion polls for the Scottish labour party under Anas Sarwar. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. In the case of Northern Ireland, with its own political parties, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the LucidTalk opinion poll of 3 February. The YouGov polling for The Times also suggests widespread public dissatisfaction with the government's economic plan. Nicola Sturgeon Expected To Resign As Scottish First Minister Today But Why? Please click 'Sign in and Subscribe' to continue. The rank outsider to become First Minister has only received the public backing of one serving politician, Joanna Cherry, amid struggles to get her campaign going. Trend support for the Green Party has nudged up slightly to the 5%-6% mark. The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Does Douglas Alexanders comeback herald the return of Labours Blairites? The historic oil recipe is based on what was used at the coronation of Queen Elizabeth II, the formula of which has been used for hundreds of years. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats have 9% of the vote (no change), while the Greens have 7% (-1) and Reform UK have 3% of the vote (no change). SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The Tory lead over Labour was as high as 10% throughout April, May and June 2021. The Aberdeen youth product is training with the under-21s after falling out-of-favour on Tyneside. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. The majority of people believe that a doctors approval should be needed for a person to change their sex in law. British Social Attitudes Survey 39, reported in The Times, 22 Sep 2022Full results I Chapter on Culture WarsMain findings: YouGov, May 2022Full report I DataMain findings: Equalities, Human Rights and Civil Justice Committee, Scottish Parliament, reported 23 May 2022, Wings Over Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 02 May 2022: Voting for people who hate you. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Company number: SC669393. Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. Founded by Ben Walker and Lily Jayne Summers. The poll was conducted for The Sunday Times over the past week as a review for the Scottish Prison Service found that the process of admitting transgender people to prisons should be improved in the wake of the Isla Bryson case. tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. We don't have an account for this email address. The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. The Conservative party regained a minor amount of ground in the first 3 weeks of the Rishi Sunak premiership, but Mr Sunaks honeymoon period has been short lived, and those advances stalled soon after Jeremy Hunts financial statement.

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